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2026 Virginia Tech Men's Basketball Bubble Watch: February 16th Edition

Tobi Lawal 1 ND 2026 DB
Photo Credit: Daniel Belloni

Virginia Tech's momentum from a 76-66 victory at then No. 20 Clemson went completely off the rails Saturday as the Hokies suffered a stunning 92-69 home loss to Florida State where the Hokies were absolutely dominated in the second half.

This loss obviously had a significant impact on the Hokies' NCAA Tournament hopes by providing a massive hit to all their metrics while handing VT a Q3 loss, albeit one that could climb to Q2 with Florida State now being 82nd in the NET and only having to reach the top 75 in the NET for the loss to climb a category.

While many have said that the Hokies' NCAA Tournament hopes are dead, the reality is that Virginia Tech still have a reasonable chance to make the Big Dance, even if the odds of them doing took a significant hit Saturday.

So with that in mind, let's dive into today's edition of the 2026 Virginia Tech Men's Basketball Bubble Watch.

Inside The Resume (Thanks to WarrenNolan.com)

NET/Records/Quadrants/Strength of Schedule

  • NET: 58
  • Overall Record: 17-9
  • Q1: 3-7
  • Q2: 4-1
  • Q3: 3-1
  • Q4: 7-0
  • SOS: 62
  • Non-Conference SOS: 221

Resume-Based Metrics

  • KPI: 37
  • SOR: 53
  • WAB: 51

Predictive Metrics

  • BPI: 69
  • KenPom: 65
  • T-Rank: 60

The loss to Florida State was quite damaging to their resume with the Hokies dropping

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